Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.432814 9.868404 11.440399 13.284992 15.385378 17.697674 20.430908
2026-01-04 6.224310 8.213502 10.621377 13.727834 17.603998 22.253792 28.223447
2026-01-11 4.787199 6.964217 9.819522 13.786563 19.094639 25.883693 35.143284
2026-01-18 3.834490 6.065420 9.197326 13.825326 20.381181 29.208832 41.838525
2026-01-25 3.049181 5.210467 8.438719 13.480283 20.990730 31.566848 47.332838
2026-02-01 2.463900 4.525243 7.785797 13.140641 21.486442 33.714512 52.611665
2026-02-08 1.969272 3.880750 7.076421 12.582568 21.536709 35.149065 56.894864
2026-02-15 1.605225 3.383674 6.516902 12.162737 21.711034 36.723559 61.436400
2026-02-22 1.428856 3.191761 6.439648 12.517348 23.137638 40.306661 69.273252
2026-03-01 1.282230 3.027608 6.382496 12.886892 24.603469 44.036802 77.570491
2026-03-08 1.066844 2.680506 5.931702 12.485193 24.686853 45.492439 82.271167
2026-03-15 0.901453 2.405490 5.575865 12.206955 24.942707 47.226492 87.508951
2026-03-22 0.828932 2.338336 5.654251 12.825638 26.988425 52.344948 99.098182
2026-03-29 0.738956 2.214021 5.601694 13.193769 28.634858 56.953243 110.254922
2026-04-05 0.637815 2.037364 5.405397 13.238418 29.660235 60.528371 119.860776
2026-04-12 0.551730 1.877833 5.218818 13.273446 30.659698 64.118223 129.722464
2026-04-19 0.458893 1.673412 4.887954 12.940072 30.863779 66.215924 136.983472
2026-04-26 0.381959 1.492854 4.580817 12.612325 31.033594 68.241485 144.220438
2026-05-03 0.309308 1.302188 4.209213 12.074011 30.682346 69.200185 149.473084
2026-05-10 0.254138 1.150860 3.911874 11.669125 30.572598 70.615159 155.674147
2026-05-17 0.231299 1.107548 3.910330 12.011106 32.189768 75.669246 169.335429
2026-05-24 0.211258 1.068577 3.914411 12.367533 33.871665 80.967576 183.787440
2026-05-31 0.174635 0.950390 3.654739 11.980093 33.745970 82.427613 190.548292